{"id":81,"date":"2023-01-25T16:34:02","date_gmt":"2023-01-25T16:34:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/content.one.lumenlearning.com\/quantitativereasoning\/chapter\/computing-the-probability-of-an-event-learn-it-page-3\/"},"modified":"2024-03-28T17:19:34","modified_gmt":"2024-03-28T17:19:34","slug":"computing-the-probability-of-an-event-learn-it-3","status":"publish","type":"chapter","link":"https:\/\/content.one.lumenlearning.com\/quantitativereasoning\/chapter\/computing-the-probability-of-an-event-learn-it-3\/","title":{"raw":"Computing the Probability of an Event: Learn It 3","rendered":"Computing the Probability of an Event: Learn It 3"},"content":{"raw":"<h2>Probability of Two Independent Events<\/h2>\r\n<p>Suppose we flipped a coin and rolled a die, and wanted to know the probability of getting a head on the coin and a [latex]6[\/latex] on the die. Take a moment to think about how you could approach finding the probability. You could start by listing all the possible outcomes: <center>[latex]{H1, H2, H3, H4, H5, H6, T1, T2, T3, T4, T5, T6}[\/latex]<\/center> and determining the total number of outcomes. Notice, out of the twelve outcomes only one is the desired outcome, so the probability is [latex]\\frac{1}{12}[\/latex].<\/p>\r\n<p>This example contains two <strong>independent<\/strong> <strong>events <\/strong>since getting a certain outcome from rolling a die had no influence on the outcome from flipping the coin. When two events are independent, the probability of both occurring is the product of the probabilities of the individual events.<\/p>\r\n<section class=\"textbox keyTakeaway\">\r\n<div>\r\n<h3>independent events<\/h3>\r\n<p>Events [latex]A[\/latex] and [latex]B[\/latex] are <strong>independent events<\/strong> if the probability of event [latex]B[\/latex] occurring is the same whether or not event [latex]A[\/latex] occurs.<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/section>\r\n<section class=\"textbox recall\">\r\n<p>To multiply fractions, place the product of the numerators over the product of the denominators.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">[latex]\\dfrac{a}{b} \\cdot \\dfrac{c}{d} = \\dfrac{ac}{bd}[\/latex]<\/p>\r\n<p>To write a fraction in reduced terms, first, take the prime factorization of the numerator and denominator, then cancel out factors that are common in the numerator and the denominator.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">[latex]\\dfrac{12}{18}=\\dfrac{\\cancel{2}\\cdot 2\\cdot \\cancel{3}}{\\cancel{2}\\cdot 3\\cdot \\cancel{3}}=\\dfrac{2}{3}[\/latex]<\/p>\r\n<\/section>\r\n<p>In probability theory, just as we combine fractions through multiplication, we can combine the probabilities of independent events. For two independent events, [latex]A[\/latex] and [latex]B[\/latex], the probability of both occurring simultaneously is found by multiplying their individual probabilities. This principle is akin to multiplying fractions, where the product of the numerators over the product of the denominators gives the resulting fraction.<\/p>\r\n<section class=\"textbox keyTakeaway\">\r\n<div>\r\n<h3>[latex]P(A \\text{ and } B)[\/latex] for independent events<\/h3>\r\n<p>If events [latex]A[\/latex] and [latex]B[\/latex] are independent, then the probability of both [latex]A[\/latex] and [latex]B[\/latex]\u00a0 occurring is<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<img class=\"wp-image-177 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/content-cdn.one.lumenlearning.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/18\/2023\/01\/02182816\/Intersection_of_sets_A_and_B.svg_-300x230.png\" alt=\"A venn diagram with the intersection of sets A and B is shown. The intersection is labeled as A and B\" width=\"187\" height=\"143\" \/><center><\/center><center>[latex]P\\left(A\\text{ and }B\\right)=P\\left(A\\right)\\cdot{P}\\left(B\\right)[\/latex]<\/center>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<br \/>\r\n<p><br \/>\r\nwhere [latex]P(A \\text{ and } B)[\/latex] is the probability of events [latex]A[\/latex] and [latex]B[\/latex] both occurring, [latex]P(A)[\/latex] is the probability of event [latex]A[\/latex] occurring, and [latex]P(B)[\/latex] is the probability of event [latex]B[\/latex] occurring<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p><strong>Notation: <\/strong>[latex]P\\left(A\\text{ and }B\\right)[\/latex] can also be notated as [latex]P(A \\cap B)[\/latex]<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/section>\r\n<section class=\"textbox tryIt\">[ohm2_question hide_question_numbers=1]2816[\/ohm2_question]<\/section>\r\n<p>Moving from understanding individual event probabilities to exploring the likelihood of combined events, we encounter the concept of union in probability. If events [latex]A[\/latex] and [latex]B[\/latex] are independent, to determine the probability of either event occurring, we use the formula for the union of [latex]A[\/latex] or [latex]B[\/latex], which is [latex]P(A\\text{ or }B)=P(A)+P(B)\u2013P(A\\text{ and }B)[\/latex]. This formula accounts for the total probability of either event, minus the overlap where both events occur together, ensuring each possibility is counted only once.<\/p>\r\n<section class=\"textbox keyTakeaway\">\r\n<div>\r\n<h3>[latex]P(A \\text{ or } B)[\/latex] for independent events<\/h3>\r\n<p><img class=\"wp-image-177 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/content-cdn.one.lumenlearning.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/18\/2023\/01\/02183504\/Union_of_sets_A_and_B.svg_-300x230.png\" alt=\"A venn diagram of the union of sets A and B is shown\" width=\"187\" height=\"143\" \/><br \/>\r\nThe probability of either [latex]A[\/latex] or [latex]B[\/latex] occurring (or both) is<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">[latex]P(A\\text{ or }B)=P(A)+P(B)\u2013P(A\\text{ and }B)[\/latex]<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p><strong>Notation: <\/strong>[latex]P\\left(A\\text{ or }B\\right)[\/latex] can also be notated as [latex]P(A \\cup B)[\/latex]<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/section>\r\n<section class=\"textbox tryIt\">[ohm2_question hide_question_numbers=1]2824[\/ohm2_question]<\/section>","rendered":"<h2>Probability of Two Independent Events<\/h2>\n<p>Suppose we flipped a coin and rolled a die, and wanted to know the probability of getting a head on the coin and a [latex]6[\/latex] on the die. Take a moment to think about how you could approach finding the probability. You could start by listing all the possible outcomes: <\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: center;\">[latex]{H1, H2, H3, H4, H5, H6, T1, T2, T3, T4, T5, T6}[\/latex]<\/div>\n<p> and determining the total number of outcomes. Notice, out of the twelve outcomes only one is the desired outcome, so the probability is [latex]\\frac{1}{12}[\/latex].<\/p>\n<p>This example contains two <strong>independent<\/strong> <strong>events <\/strong>since getting a certain outcome from rolling a die had no influence on the outcome from flipping the coin. When two events are independent, the probability of both occurring is the product of the probabilities of the individual events.<\/p>\n<section class=\"textbox keyTakeaway\">\n<div>\n<h3>independent events<\/h3>\n<p>Events [latex]A[\/latex] and [latex]B[\/latex] are <strong>independent events<\/strong> if the probability of event [latex]B[\/latex] occurring is the same whether or not event [latex]A[\/latex] occurs.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"textbox recall\">\n<p>To multiply fractions, place the product of the numerators over the product of the denominators.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">[latex]\\dfrac{a}{b} \\cdot \\dfrac{c}{d} = \\dfrac{ac}{bd}[\/latex]<\/p>\n<p>To write a fraction in reduced terms, first, take the prime factorization of the numerator and denominator, then cancel out factors that are common in the numerator and the denominator.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">[latex]\\dfrac{12}{18}=\\dfrac{\\cancel{2}\\cdot 2\\cdot \\cancel{3}}{\\cancel{2}\\cdot 3\\cdot \\cancel{3}}=\\dfrac{2}{3}[\/latex]<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p>In probability theory, just as we combine fractions through multiplication, we can combine the probabilities of independent events. For two independent events, [latex]A[\/latex] and [latex]B[\/latex], the probability of both occurring simultaneously is found by multiplying their individual probabilities. This principle is akin to multiplying fractions, where the product of the numerators over the product of the denominators gives the resulting fraction.<\/p>\n<section class=\"textbox keyTakeaway\">\n<div>\n<h3>[latex]P(A \\text{ and } B)[\/latex] for independent events<\/h3>\n<p>If events [latex]A[\/latex] and [latex]B[\/latex] are independent, then the probability of both [latex]A[\/latex] and [latex]B[\/latex]\u00a0 occurring is<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-177 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/content-cdn.one.lumenlearning.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/18\/2023\/01\/02182816\/Intersection_of_sets_A_and_B.svg_-300x230.png\" alt=\"A venn diagram with the intersection of sets A and B is shown. The intersection is labeled as A and B\" width=\"187\" height=\"143\" srcset=\"https:\/\/content-cdn.one.lumenlearning.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/18\/2023\/01\/02182816\/Intersection_of_sets_A_and_B.svg_-300x230.png 300w, https:\/\/content-cdn.one.lumenlearning.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/18\/2023\/01\/02182816\/Intersection_of_sets_A_and_B.svg_-65x50.png 65w, https:\/\/content-cdn.one.lumenlearning.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/18\/2023\/01\/02182816\/Intersection_of_sets_A_and_B.svg_-225x172.png 225w, https:\/\/content-cdn.one.lumenlearning.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/18\/2023\/01\/02182816\/Intersection_of_sets_A_and_B.svg_-350x268.png 350w, https:\/\/content-cdn.one.lumenlearning.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/18\/2023\/01\/02182816\/Intersection_of_sets_A_and_B.svg_.png 371w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 187px) 100vw, 187px\" \/><\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: center;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: center;\">[latex]P\\left(A\\text{ and }B\\right)=P\\left(A\\right)\\cdot{P}\\left(B\\right)[\/latex]<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-nocaption \"><\/div>\n<p>\nwhere [latex]P(A \\text{ and } B)[\/latex] is the probability of events [latex]A[\/latex] and [latex]B[\/latex] both occurring, [latex]P(A)[\/latex] is the probability of event [latex]A[\/latex] occurring, and [latex]P(B)[\/latex] is the probability of event [latex]B[\/latex] occurring<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Notation: <\/strong>[latex]P\\left(A\\text{ and }B\\right)[\/latex] can also be notated as [latex]P(A \\cap B)[\/latex]<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"textbox tryIt\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"ohm2816\" class=\"resizable\" src=\"https:\/\/ohm.one.lumenlearning.com\/multiembedq.php?id=2816&theme=lumen&iframe_resize_id=ohm2816&source=tnh\" width=\"100%\" height=\"150\"><\/iframe><\/section>\n<p>Moving from understanding individual event probabilities to exploring the likelihood of combined events, we encounter the concept of union in probability. If events [latex]A[\/latex] and [latex]B[\/latex] are independent, to determine the probability of either event occurring, we use the formula for the union of [latex]A[\/latex] or [latex]B[\/latex], which is [latex]P(A\\text{ or }B)=P(A)+P(B)\u2013P(A\\text{ and }B)[\/latex]. This formula accounts for the total probability of either event, minus the overlap where both events occur together, ensuring each possibility is counted only once.<\/p>\n<section class=\"textbox keyTakeaway\">\n<div>\n<h3>[latex]P(A \\text{ or } B)[\/latex] for independent events<\/h3>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-177 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/content-cdn.one.lumenlearning.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/18\/2023\/01\/02183504\/Union_of_sets_A_and_B.svg_-300x230.png\" alt=\"A venn diagram of the union of sets A and B is shown\" width=\"187\" height=\"143\" \/><br \/>\nThe probability of either [latex]A[\/latex] or [latex]B[\/latex] occurring (or both) is<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">[latex]P(A\\text{ or }B)=P(A)+P(B)\u2013P(A\\text{ and }B)[\/latex]<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Notation: <\/strong>[latex]P\\left(A\\text{ or }B\\right)[\/latex] can also be notated as [latex]P(A \\cup B)[\/latex]<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"textbox tryIt\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"ohm2824\" class=\"resizable\" src=\"https:\/\/ohm.one.lumenlearning.com\/multiembedq.php?id=2824&theme=lumen&iframe_resize_id=ohm2824&source=tnh\" width=\"100%\" height=\"150\"><\/iframe><\/section>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"menu_order":7,"template":"","meta":{"_candela_citation":"[{\"type\":\"original\",\"description\":\"Revision and Adaptation\",\"author\":\"\",\"organization\":\"Lumen Learning\",\"url\":\"\",\"project\":\"\",\"license\":\"cc-by\",\"license_terms\":\"\"},{\"type\":\"cc\",\"description\":\"Working With Events\",\"author\":\"David Lippman\",\"organization\":\"\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/www.opentextbookstore.com\/mathinsociety\/\",\"project\":\"Math in Society\",\"license\":\"cc-by-sa\",\"license_terms\":\"\"}]","pb_show_title":"on","pb_short_title":"","pb_subtitle":"","pb_authors":[],"pb_section_license":""},"chapter-type":[],"contributor":[],"license":[],"part":76,"module-header":"learn_it","content_attributions":[{"type":"original","description":"Revision and Adaptation","author":"","organization":"Lumen Learning","url":"","project":"","license":"cc-by","license_terms":""},{"type":"cc","description":"Working With Events","author":"David Lippman","organization":"","url":"http:\/\/www.opentextbookstore.com\/mathinsociety\/","project":"Math in Society","license":"cc-by-sa","license_terms":""}],"internal_book_links":[],"video_content":null,"cc_video_embed_content":{"cc_scripts":"","media_targets":[]},"try_it_collection":null,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/content.one.lumenlearning.com\/quantitativereasoning\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/81"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/content.one.lumenlearning.com\/quantitativereasoning\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/content.one.lumenlearning.com\/quantitativereasoning\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/chapter"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/content.one.lumenlearning.com\/quantitativereasoning\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"version-history":[{"count":46,"href":"https:\/\/content.one.lumenlearning.com\/quantitativereasoning\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/81\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13886,"href":"https:\/\/content.one.lumenlearning.com\/quantitativereasoning\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/81\/revisions\/13886"}],"part":[{"href":"https:\/\/content.one.lumenlearning.com\/quantitativereasoning\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/parts\/76"}],"metadata":[{"href":"https:\/\/content.one.lumenlearning.com\/quantitativereasoning\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/81\/metadata\/"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/content.one.lumenlearning.com\/quantitativereasoning\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"chapter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/content.one.lumenlearning.com\/quantitativereasoning\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapter-type?post=81"},{"taxonomy":"contributor","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/content.one.lumenlearning.com\/quantitativereasoning\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributor?post=81"},{"taxonomy":"license","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/content.one.lumenlearning.com\/quantitativereasoning\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/license?post=81"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}