Analyzing Arguments With Logic: Fresh Take

  • Understand different types of arguments
  • Use logic to see if a statement is true
  • Identify logical fallacies

Inductive and Deductive Reasoning

The Main Idea 

When we form arguments or draw conclusions, we often use reasoning, which can be classified into two major types: inductive and deductive.

Inductive reasoning is a form of logical thinking in which we make generalizations based on individual instances we have observed or experienced. It’s about predicting future events or drawing broad conclusions from specific observations.

For example, suppose you notice that every morning when you wake up, the sun has risen. This observation leads you to conclude, through inductive reasoning, that the sun will rise every morning.

While inductive arguments can provide likely conclusions, they do not guarantee 100% truth in their conclusions, but it can provide either weak or strong evidence to suggest it may be true. This is due to the fact that they rely on observed patterns, and patterns sometimes change.

Deductive reasoning, on the other hand, starts with general statements or premises and leads to a specific, logical conclusion. It’s about deriving a certain conclusion from a set of general principles or premises.

For example, if all men are mortal (premise 1), and Socrates is a man (premise 2), then Socrates must be mortal (conclusion). Here, if the premises are true, then the conclusion must also be true. Deductive reasoning provides certainty, given that the initial premises are true.

When assessing deductive arguments, two key concepts to consider are validity and soundness.

  1. Validity
    A deductive argument is valid if the truth of its premises guarantees the truth of its conclusion. In other words, if the premises are true, the conclusion must also be true. The validity of an argument is purely about its logical structure or form, not about whether its premises or conclusions are actually true. For example, consider this argument:

    • If it rains, the ground will be wet.
    • It’s raining.
    • Therefore, the ground is wet.

    This is a valid argument, as it follows a logical structure. If premises 1 and 2 are true, the conclusion (3) must also be true.

  2. Soundness
    Soundness, on the other hand, is a characteristic of a deductive argument that is not only valid but also has true premises. A sound argument is thus a valid argument with true premises, which leads to a necessarily true conclusion. Using the previous example if it’s indeed raining (which means premises 1 and 2 are true), and the argument structure is valid, then the argument is also sound, and the ground must indeed be wet.

You can view the transcript for “3 7 arguments and Euler Diagrams” here (opens in new window).

Analyzing Arguments with Venn/Euler Diagrams

You can view the  transcript for “3.5 Analyzing Arguments with Euler Diagrams” here (opens in new window).

Analyze the following argument using a Venn/Euler diagram.

Premise: If you live in Seattle, you live in Washington.
Premise: Marcus does not live in Seattle.
Conclusion: Marcus does not live in Washington.

Analyzing Arguments with Truth Tables

You can view the transcript for “Truth Table to determine if an argument is valid” here (opens in new window).

You can view the transcript for “Truth Tables to Analyze Arguments” here (opens in new window).

Consider the argument:

Premise: If you bought bread, then you went to the store
Premise: You bought bread
Conclusion: You went to the store

Premise: If I work hard, I’ll get a raise.
Premise: If I get a raise, I’ll buy a boat.
Conclusion: If I don’t buy a boat, I must not have worked hard.

Logical Fallacies

The Main Idea 

A logical fallacy is an error in reasoning that results in an invalid argument or statement. These fallacies often sound persuasive and may seem to follow a logical line of thinking, which can make them tricky to spot. However, they don’t hold up to rigorous scrutiny because they are based on flawed logic. Logical fallacies can occur either intentionally, as in the case of rhetorical strategies meant to sway opinion or manipulate, or unintentionally, as the result of faulty reasoning or misunderstanding. There are several different types of logical fallacies.

  1. Ad hominem: This is a fallacy where someone attacks their opponent’s character or personal traits rather than engaging with their argument or position. It is a way to divert attention from the issue at hand.
  2. Appeal to ignorance: This fallacy assumes a claim is true because it has not been proven false, or false because it has not been proven true. It capitalizes on the lack of evidence to the contrary.
  3. Appeal to authority: This fallacy asserts that because an authority figure or expert believes something, it must be true. It fails to account for the fact that even experts can be mistaken.
  4. Appeal to consequence: This fallacy suggests that a premise is true or false based on whether its outcome is desirable or undesirable. The truth of a statement, however, isn’t determined by its potential consequences.
  5. False dilemma: Also known as false dichotomy, this fallacy presents only two options or outcomes when, in reality, there could be several. It artificially restricts possible choices to manipulate an outcome.
  6. Circular reasoning: This fallacy occurs when the conclusion of an argument is used as one of its premises. It’s essentially arguing in a circle, offering no new information or insight.
  7. Straw man: This fallacy distorts an opponent’s argument into an easily refutable position and then attacks this weaker proposition as if it were the original one. It’s a way to sidestep the actual issue at hand.
  8. Post hoc (post hoc ergo propter hoc): The post hoc fallacy assumes that because event [latex]B[/latex] followed event [latex]A[/latex], [latex]A[/latex] must have caused [latex]B[/latex]. While often true in causality, it isn’t always the case, and it’s a fallacy to assume it without evidence.
  9. Correlation implies causation: This fallacy, also known as “cum hoc ergo propter hoc,” suggests that because two events occur together, one must have caused the other. Correlation, however, does not necessarily mean causation.

You can view the transcript for “Understanding Various Types of Logical Fallacies” here (opens in new window).

  1. Only an untrustworthy person would run for office. The fact that politicians are untrustworthy is proof of this.
  2. Since the 1950s, both the atmospheric carbon dioxide level and obesity levels have increased sharply. Hence, atmospheric carbon dioxide causes obesity.
  3. The oven was working fine until you started using it, so you must have broken it.
  4. You can’t give me a D in the class—I can’t afford to retake it.
  5. The senator wants to increase support for food stamps. He wants to take the taxpayers’ hard-earned money and give it away to lazy people. This isn’t fair so we shouldn’t do it.