Probability: Learn It 3

  • Calculate the probability of an event in a chance experiment.
  • Recognize the differences between theoretical and empirical probability.

Probability Values

The probability of an event is a numeric measure of how likely it is for the event to happen.

Probability is always a value from [latex]0[/latex] to [latex]1[/latex], inclusive (which means that [latex]0[/latex] and [latex]1[/latex] are included). We can write probability as a fraction, a decimal, or a percentage from [latex]0\%[/latex] to [latex]100\%[/latex], inclusive.

So, for event [latex]A[/latex]:

[latex]0 \le P(A) \le 1[/latex]

or

[latex]0\% \le P(A) \le 100\%[/latex]

In the world of probabilities, numbers between [latex]0[/latex] and [latex]1[/latex] hold special significance. These numbers represent the likelihood or chance of an event occurring. It allows us to express how likely or unlikely an event is, offering a clear and intuitive framework for reasoning about uncertainty and making informed decisions based on the likelihood of various outcomes.

Probability values range from 0 to 1, representing the likelihood of an event happening. Here’s how you can categorize these values:

Probability Range 0 (0, 0.5) (0.5, 1) 1
Event Likelihood Impossible Improbable Probable Certain
  1. Impossible Event: This is when the probability of an event is 0. It means that there is no chance that the event will happen.
  2. Improbable Event: This is when the probability of an event is greater than 0 but less than 0.5. These events are not expected to happen often, but they are not impossible.

  3. Probable Event: This is when the probability of an event is greater than 0.5 but less than 1. These events are more likely to happen than not.

  4. Certain Event: This is when the probability of an event is 1. This means that the event is guaranteed to happen.

Calculate the following probabilities from flipping a fair coin (assuming that it cannot land on an edge)

  1. Find [latex]P(\text{either getting a head or a tail})[/latex].

  2.  Find [latex]P(\text{land on an edge})[/latex].

  • To put it simply, if an event is impossible, its probability is [latex]0[/latex].
  • Conversely, if an event is certain to happen, its probability is [latex]1[/latex].